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We will update this article throughout the season, along with all our predictions, so make sure to keep checking IndieWire for the latest news from the 2023 Emmys race. The nomination round of voting takes place from June 15 to June 26, with the official Emmy nominations announced Wednesday, July 12. The Creative Arts Emmy Awards will be presented over two consecutive nights on Saturday, September 9 and Sunday, September 10, with an edited presentation of the ceremonies to be broadcast on FXX at a later date. Finally, the 75th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards take place on Monday, September 18, and air live on FOX at 8:00 p.m. ET/ 5:00 p.m. PT.
See our previous thoughts on what to expect at the 75th Primetime Emmy Awards here.
The State of the Race
It does not feel hyperbolic to declare “The White Lotus” star Jennifer Coolidge a lock to win Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series. Although we are only midway through Emmys season, the HBO star already proved herself in a big way at this year’s Screen Actors Guild Awards, where she beat fellow 2022 Emmy winners Zendaya and Julia Garner in the Female Actor in a Drama Series category. She would even be the frontrunner in the Lead Actress in a Drama Series category had she submitted there.
The one disappointing aspect of Coolidge remaining in the category is that it leaves less room for her many worthy co-stars to break through. Aubrey Plaza and Meghann Fahy are the most likely candidates to still receive a nomination, as their storyline made the most waves, but it is unlikely that the hit HBO series will fully take over this category in the same way it dominated the Supporting Actress in a Limited Series category last year.
This is the only Drama acting category where “Succession” is not at the forefront of the conversation. As great as J. Smith Cameron was at playing Geri all four seasons, she was not given enough to do in the final stretch to exceed past one more year of inclusion in the nominees pool. Coolidge’s true competition is the one-two punch of Rhea Seehorn and Carol Burnett from “Better Call Saul.” The show has not won an Emmy overall, but if there was ever a chance to give it one big farewell honor, it would be to fan favorite Seehorn who has provided such interesting character development over six seasons. Meanwhile, six-time winner Burnett is just a TV icon and Emmy magnet, who also has a variety special in heavy contention this year, so she would not be one to count out.
Rounding out the rest of the nominations, both “Yellowjackets” star Christina Ricci and “The Crown” star Elizabeth Debicki are giving performances too big to ignore, but voters are likely to consider how their characters’ arcs are still ongoing, and choose to hold their final votes for them until a later season.
Predicted Nominees:
Carol Burnett, “Better Call Saul” (AMC)
Jennifer Coolidge, “The White Lotus” (HBO)
Elizabeth Debicki, “The Crown” (Netflix)
Meghann Fahy, “The White Lotus” (HBO)
Aubrey Plaza, “The White Lotus” (HBO)
Christina Ricci, “Yellowjackets” (Showtime)
Rhea Seehorn, “Better Call Saul” (AMC)
J. Smith-Cameron, “Succession” (HBO)
Contenders:
Milly Alcock, “House of the Dragon” (HBO)
Olivia Cooke, “House of the Dragon” (HBO)
Lesley Manville, “The Crown” (Netflix)
In a Perfect World:
Morfydd Clark, “The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power” (Prime Video)
Aminah Nieves, “1923” (Paramount+)
Arsema Thomas, “Queen Charlotte: A Bridgerton Story” (Netflix)
More Drama Category Predictions:
Outstanding Drama Series
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
To see IndieWire’s full set of predictions for the 75th Emmy Awards click here.
Last Year’s Winner: Julia Garner, “Ozark”
Still Eligible: No.
Hot Streak: With Garner out of the running, having tied the record for most consecutive wins in this category last year, the streak to look at is if Netflix could win Supporting Actress in a Drama a fifth year in a row.
Notable Ineligible Series: Patricia Arquette, “Severance” (Season 2 was not eligible); Sydney Sweeney, “Euphoria” (Season 3 was not eligible); Sadie Sink, “Stranger Things” (Season 5 was not eligible); Fiona Shaw, “Killing Eve” (ended); Julia Garner, “Ozark” (ended)
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– Armessa Movie News